Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.344762 0.394164 0.447064 0.507795 0.575463 0.648408 0.732859
2025-11-16 0.257483 0.322917 0.398482 0.491672 0.602942 0.730950 0.888729
2025-11-23 0.195189 0.267578 0.357387 0.475740 0.626197 0.809564 1.048230
2025-11-30 0.156806 0.233752 0.335788 0.478615 0.670612 0.916698 1.252353
2025-12-07 0.123781 0.200359 0.308677 0.469247 0.696630 1.001850 1.436138
2025-12-14 0.101313 0.177274 0.291398 0.469701 0.734315 1.104357 1.650713
2025-12-21 0.081738 0.154520 0.270521 0.461159 0.756926 1.186656 1.843155
2025-12-28 0.071409 0.144581 0.267405 0.478257 0.817968 1.327640 2.128639
2026-01-04 0.062634 0.135493 0.263983 0.493796 0.877246 1.469726 2.425143
2026-01-11 0.053464 0.123747 0.254039 0.496785 0.916001 1.582562 2.684462
2026-01-18 0.045546 0.112732 0.243524 0.497010 0.949394 1.688424 2.938882
2026-01-25 0.038643 0.102282 0.232310 0.494200 0.976627 1.785360 3.184250
2026-02-01 0.032795 0.092974 0.222092 0.492333 1.005937 1.888943 3.449297
2026-02-08 0.028068 0.085155 0.213632 0.492659 1.038977 2.000868 3.735001
2026-02-15 0.023611 0.076884 0.202820 0.486807 1.059719 2.092668 3.992182
2026-02-22 0.020892 0.072454 0.199732 0.496273 1.110096 2.239441 4.351395
2026-03-01 0.017658 0.065721 0.190184 0.490719 1.130392 2.333199 4.623270
2026-03-08 0.015377 0.061126 0.184946 0.493814 1.167941 2.460451 4.960892
2026-03-15 0.012949 0.055336 0.175685 0.486539 1.183327 2.546959 5.229441
2026-03-22 0.011946 0.053958 0.177633 0.505515 1.255132 2.744469 5.710318
2026-03-29 0.010962 0.052360 0.178727 0.522510 1.323912 2.939837 6.196395
2026-04-05 0.009632 0.049079 0.174571 0.526095 1.363611 3.080414 6.586411
2026-04-12 0.008385 0.045684 0.169468 0.526615 1.396368 3.208818 6.959170